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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Basquet Girona — Joventut Badalona

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Model prediction for 25 October

Basquet Girona36%
Joventut Badalona64%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Joventut Badalona are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:90 — 176 points in total.

Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Basquet Girona −6.5, Joventut Badalona +1.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Basquet Girona — Joventut Badalona86.1–90.4
Total over 175.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 175.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Basquet Girona points
  • Joventut Badalona points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Basquet Girona

  • 10.10away · Breogan92:115
  • 04.10away · Baskonia78:118
  • 27.09Murcia84:77
  • 29.05Joventut Badalona82:77
  • 24.05away · Bilbao80:86

Joventut Badalona

  • 11.10away · Baskonia73:93
  • 27.09away · Breogan104:110
  • 14.06Valencia75:87
  • 12.06away · Valencia76:90
  • 10.06away · Valencia117:118

Head to head

  • 29.05.2026Basquet Girona — Joventut Badalona82:77
  • 18.01.2026Joventut Badalona — Basquet Girona71:74
  • 08.03.2025Basquet Girona — Joventut Badalona83:76
  • 02.11.2024Joventut Badalona — Basquet Girona83:68
  • 21.04.2024Joventut Badalona — Basquet Girona96:90

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9San Pablo Burgos312.3332
10Basquet Girona312.3332
11Unicaja312.3332
16MoraBanc Andorra202.0002.5
17, RelegationJoventut Badalona202.0002.5
18, RelegationManresa303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

  • BilbaoMoraBanc Andorrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.9
  • TenerifeObradoiro CABpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.2
  • ValenciaBaskoniapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.5
  • BreoganUnicajapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.7
  • Forca LleidaReal Madridpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →