NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Charlotte Hornets — Miami Heat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte Hornets are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 118:110 — 229 points in total.
Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Charlotte Hornets play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
- Miami Heat play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Charlotte Hornets — Miami Heat | 118.3–110.3 | |
| Total over 228.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 228.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Charlotte Hornets points
- Miami Heat points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 18.04away · Orlando Magic90:121
- 15.04Miami Heat127:126
- 13.04away · New York Knicks110:96
- 11.04Detroit Pistons100:118
- 08.04away · Boston Celtics102:113
- 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
- 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
- 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
- 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
- 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121
Head to head
- 15.04.2026Charlotte Hornets — Miami Heat127:126 OT
- 18.03.2026Charlotte Hornets — Miami Heat136:106
- 07.03.2026Charlotte Hornets — Miami Heat120:128
- 08.11.2025Miami Heat — Charlotte Hornets126:108
- 29.10.2025Miami Heat — Charlotte Hornets144:117
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersBrooklyn Netspreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.9
- Philadelphia 76ersMilwaukee Buckspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.9
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —239.6
- Dallas MavericksSan Antonio Spurspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.0
- Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.6
- Atlanta HawksHouston Rocketspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.8
- Phoenix SunsGolden State Warriorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →