NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Atlanta Hawks — Houston Rockets

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Model prediction for 25 October

Atlanta Hawks41%
Houston Rockets59%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Houston Rockets are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 111:114 — 226 points in total.

Over 225.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Atlanta Hawks play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
  • Houston Rockets play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Atlanta Hawks — Houston Rockets111.5–114.4
Total over 225.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 225.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Atlanta Hawks points
  • Houston Rockets points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Atlanta Hawks

  • 01.05New York Knicks89:140
  • 29.04away · New York Knicks97:126
  • 26.04New York Knicks98:114
  • 24.04New York Knicks109:108
  • 21.04away · New York Knicks107:106

Houston Rockets

  • 02.05Los Angeles Lakers78:98
  • 30.04away · Los Angeles Lakers99:93
  • 27.04Los Angeles Lakers115:96
  • 25.04Los Angeles Lakers108:112
  • 22.04away · Los Angeles Lakers94:101

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Houston Rockets — Atlanta Hawks117:95
  • 30.01.2026Atlanta Hawks — Houston Rockets86:104
  • 26.03.2025Houston Rockets — Atlanta Hawks121:114
  • 29.01.2025Atlanta Hawks — Houston Rockets96:100
  • 11.02.2024Atlanta Hawks — Houston Rockets122:113

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →