NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Phoenix Suns are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 117:113 — 230 points in total.
Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 4.2 points a game.
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 8.3 points a game.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Phoenix Suns 2 wins, Golden State Warriors 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors | 117.3–112.7 | |
| Total over 229.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 229.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Phoenix Suns points
- Golden State Warriors points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 28.04Oklahoma City Thunder122:131
- 25.04Oklahoma City Thunder109:121
- 23.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:120
- 19.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder84:119
- 18.04Golden State Warriors111:96
- 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
- 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
- 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
- 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
- 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors111:96
- 06.02.2026Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors97:101
- 21.12.2025Golden State Warriors — Phoenix Suns119:116
- 19.12.2025Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors99:98
- 05.11.2025Golden State Warriors — Phoenix Suns118:107
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsMiami Heatpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.6
- Cleveland CavaliersBrooklyn Netspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Philadelphia 76ersMilwaukee Buckspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.9
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —239.6
- Dallas MavericksSan Antonio Spurspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.0
- Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.6
- Atlanta HawksHouston Rocketspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →