NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Cleveland Cavaliers — Washington Wizards

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Model prediction for 29 October

Cleveland Cavaliers71%
Washington Wizards29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cleveland Cavaliers are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 121:113 — 234 points in total.

Over 233.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Washington Wizards without Jamir Watkins: that costs the team about 3.4 points a game.
  • Pace: Cleveland Cavaliers 98.2, Washington Wizards 105.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cleveland Cavaliers — Washington Wizards120.5–113.0
Total over 233.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 233.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Washington Wizards points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 26.05New York Knicks93:130
  • 24.05New York Knicks108:121
  • 22.05away · New York Knicks93:109
  • 20.05away · New York Knicks104:115
  • 18.05away · Detroit Pistons125:94

Washington Wizards

  • 13.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:130
  • 11.04Miami Heat117:140
  • 10.04Chicago Bulls108:119
  • 08.04Chicago Bulls98:129
  • 05.04away · Brooklyn Nets115:121

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Washington Wizards130:117
  • 12.02.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Washington Wizards138:113
  • 13.12.2025Washington Wizards — Cleveland Cavaliers126:130
  • 08.11.2025Washington Wizards — Cleveland Cavaliers115:148
  • 08.02.2025Washington Wizards — Cleveland Cavaliers124:134

Full record: 25 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →