NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets

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Model prediction for 29 October

New Orleans Pelicans42%
Denver Nuggets58%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Denver Nuggets are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 118:120 — 238 points in total.

Over 237.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Pace: New Orleans Pelicans 103.8, Denver Nuggets 102.1 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets117.6–120.2
Total over 237.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 237.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

New Orleans Pelicans

  • 13.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves126:132
  • 11.04away · Boston Celtics118:144
  • 08.04Utah Jazz156:137
  • 06.04Orlando Magic108:112
  • 04.04away · Sacramento Kings113:117

Denver Nuggets

  • 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
  • 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
  • 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
  • 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
  • 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119

Head to head

  • 14.01.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets116:122
  • 20.11.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets118:125
  • 30.10.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans122:88
  • 06.02.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans144:119
  • 04.02.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans125:113

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →