EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 88:79 — 166 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.3, Bayern −4.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 6, 3–2; Bayern — No. 17, 1–3.
- Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 3 wins in a row; Bayern: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1 win, Bayern 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern | 87.5–78.9 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
- Bayern points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82
- 08.10away · Dubai77:58
- 01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
- 29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
- 24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83
- 08.10Virtus Bologna87:94
- 02.10Partizan Mozzart Bet84:86
- 29.09away · Fenerbahce76:100
- 24.09away · Hapoel Tel Aviv86:84
- 17.04away · Barcelona69:95
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern80:85
- 02.10.2025Bayern — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet97:88
- 15.04.2025Bayern — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet97:93 OT
- 06.03.2025Bayern — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet100:82
- 29.11.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern101:77
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 16 | Paris | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 17 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 18 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Maccabi Tel AvivParispreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —187.6
- Real MadridFenerbahcepreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →