EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 29 October, 22:00 MSK

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern

Model prediction for 29 October

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet76%

Bayern24%

Model estimate at 09:00 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 88:79 — 166 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.1, Bayern −5.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern		87.5–79.0
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)		51%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
Bayern points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82
08.10away · Dubai77:58
01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83

Bayern

08.10Virtus Bologna87:94
02.10Partizan Mozzart Bet84:86
29.09away · Fenerbahce76:100
24.09away · Hapoel Tel Aviv86:84
17.04away · Barcelona69:95

Head to head

06.03.2026Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern80:85
02.10.2025Bayern — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet97:88
15.04.2025Bayern — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet97:93 OT
06.03.2025Bayern — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet100:82
29.11.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Bayern101:77

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Valencia	5	4	1	.800	1
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	5	3	2	.600	2
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Partizan Mozzart Bet	5	3	2	.600	2
16	Paris	4	1	3	.250	3.5
17	Bayern	4	1	3	.250	3.5
18	Maccabi Tel Aviv	5	1	4	.200	4

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

22:05
Maccabi Tel AvivParispreliminary
5842
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —187.6
22:45
Real MadridFenerbahcepreliminary
5941
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →