NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Dallas Mavericks — San Antonio Spurs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 112:115 — 227 points in total.
Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Dallas Mavericks play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
- San Antonio Spurs play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Dallas Mavericks — San Antonio Spurs | 111.7–115.3 | |
| Total over 226.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 226.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Dallas Mavericks points
- San Antonio Spurs points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 13.04Chicago Bulls149:128
- 11.04away · San Antonio Spurs120:139
- 09.04away · Phoenix Suns107:112
- 08.04away · Los Angeles Clippers103:116
- 06.04Los Angeles Lakers134:128
- 14.06New York Knicks90:94
- 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
- 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
- 06.06New York Knicks104:105
- 04.06New York Knicks95:105
Head to head
- 11.04.2026San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks139:120
- 08.02.2026San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks138:125
- 06.02.2026Dallas Mavericks — San Antonio Spurs123:135
- 23.10.2025Dallas Mavericks — San Antonio Spurs92:125
- 13.03.2025San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks126:116
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsMiami Heatpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.6
- Cleveland CavaliersBrooklyn Netspreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.9
- Philadelphia 76ersMilwaukee Buckspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.9
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —239.6
- Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.6
- Atlanta HawksHouston Rocketspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.8
- Phoenix SunsGolden State Warriorspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →