EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Coca-Cola Arena
Dubai — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
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58:77Missed
In short
Final score 58:77: the model's most likely outcome, Dubai to win (62% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 62% fails in about 38 matches out of 100 on average.
Dubai are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 87:84 — 171 point in total.
Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Dubai −1.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet −1.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Dubai — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 87.2–83.5 | |
| Total over 169.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 169.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Dubai points
- Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 02.10away · Fenerbahce66:76
- 29.09Barcelona94:87
- 24.09Real Madrid78:77
- 17.04Valencia85:95
- 10.04Anadolu Efes69:85
- 01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
- 29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
- 24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83
- 21.04away · Barcelona72:80
- 16.04away · Real Madrid82:103
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Dubai95:92
- 11.11.2025Dubai — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet102:86
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dubai | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
Next matches
- Lyon-VilleurbanneCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet13 October · EuroLeague39612The most likely outcome came true: 282:84Final score 82:84. Model's score: —.166.6
- BaskoniaDubai13 October · EuroLeague51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 179:93Final score 79:93. Model's score: —.178.0
EuroLeague on the same day
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 197:79Final score 97:79. Model's score: —.181.4
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 187:94Final score 87:94. Model's score: —.170.5
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 192:74Final score 92:74. Model's score: —.162.1
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 193:82Final score 93:82. Model's score: —.183.2
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 186:76Final score 86:76. Model's score: —.171.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →