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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · LDLC Arena

Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

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Model prediction and result

82:84Came true
Lyon-Villeurbanne39%
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet61%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 82:84: the model's most likely outcome, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:85 — 167 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lyon-Villeurbanne −6.7, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2 wins, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81.5–85.0
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lyon-Villeurbanne points
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lyon-Villeurbanne

  • 07.10away · Paris98:96
  • 02.10Valencia92:105
  • 30.09away · Panathinaikos79:102
  • 24.09Maccabi Tel Aviv84:74
  • 16.04Fenerbahce76:81

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 08.10away · Dubai77:58
  • 01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
  • 29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
  • 24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83
  • 21.04away · Barcelona72:80

Head to head

  • 10.04.2026Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet93:106
  • 28.10.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Lyon-Villeurbanne79:65
  • 04.02.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Lyon-Villeurbanne73:66
  • 14.11.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet77:74
  • 09.01.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet100:91

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsValencia541.8001
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet532.6002
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPartizan Mozzart Bet532.6002
13Zalgiris Kaunas523.4003
14Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4003
15Anadolu Efes413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

EuroLeague on the same day

  • FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 99:80. Model's score: —.161.1
  • BarcelonaMaccabi Tel Aviv
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 90:87. Model's score: —.178.8
  • BaskoniaDubai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 79:93. Model's score: —.178.0
  • Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 89:98. Model's score: —.175.3
  • Partizan Mozzart BetPanathinaikos
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 55:72. Model's score: —.166.3
  • ValenciaOlympiacos
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 97:102 in overtime. Model's score: —.184.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →