EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
Fenerbahce — Zalgiris Kaunas
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
99:80Came true
In short
Final score 99:80: the model's most likely outcome, Fenerbahce to win (58% incl. overtime), came true.
Fenerbahce are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The model expects a score around 82:79 — 161 point in total.
Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Fenerbahce +1.4, Zalgiris Kaunas +2.4 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Fenerbahce — Zalgiris Kaunas | 81.8–79.3 | |
| Total over 160.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 160.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Fenerbahce points
- Zalgiris Kaunas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 08.10away · Panathinaikos74:92
- 02.10Dubai76:66
- 29.09Bayern100:76
- 25.09Virtus Bologna78:68
- 22.05away · Olympiacos61:79
- 09.10away · Barcelona88:81
- 01.10away · Paris78:82
- 29.09Olympiacos91:93
- 24.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83:77
- 08.05Fenerbahce90:94
Head to head
- 08.05.2026Zalgiris Kaunas — Fenerbahce90:94 OT
- 06.05.2026Zalgiris Kaunas — Fenerbahce81:78
- 30.04.2026Fenerbahce — Zalgiris Kaunas86:74
- 28.04.2026Fenerbahce — Zalgiris Kaunas89:78
- 27.03.2026Fenerbahce — Zalgiris Kaunas82:92
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 14 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
Next matches
- FenerbahcePartizan Mozzart Bet15 October · EuroLeague77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.3
- Zalgiris KaunasAnadolu Efes16 October · EuroLeague74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.8
EuroLeague on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 282:84Final score 82:84. Model's score: —.166.6
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 190:87Final score 90:87. Model's score: —.178.8
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 179:93Final score 79:93. Model's score: —.178.0
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 289:98Final score 89:98. Model's score: —.175.3
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 255:72Final score 55:72. Model's score: —.166.3
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 197:102OTFinal score 97:102 in overtime. Model's score: —.184.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →