EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Unipol Forum
Olimpia Milano — Real Madrid
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
89:98Came true
In short
Final score 89:98: the model's most likely outcome, Real Madrid to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:90 — 175 points in total.
Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Olimpia Milano −5.9, Real Madrid +1.9 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpia Milano — Real Madrid | 85.5–89.8 | |
| Total over 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Olimpia Milano points
- Real Madrid points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 08.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv79:97
- 02.10away · Baskonia76:86
- 29.09Virtus Bologna87:85
- 25.09away · Partizan Mozzart Bet76:92
- 16.04away · Olympiacos76:85
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 29.09away · Anadolu Efes84:94
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Real Madrid — Olimpia Milano106:77
- 16.12.2025Olimpia Milano — Real Madrid89:82
- 25.03.2025Real Madrid — Olimpia Milano96:89
- 07.11.2024Olimpia Milano — Real Madrid85:76
- 08.02.2024Olimpia Milano — Real Madrid81:76
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
Next matches
- Olimpia MilanoDubai15 October · EuroLeague48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.3
- Real MadridLyon-Villeurbanne15 October · EuroLeague84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —175.3
EuroLeague on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 199:80Final score 99:80. Model's score: —.161.1
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 282:84Final score 82:84. Model's score: —.166.6
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 190:87Final score 90:87. Model's score: —.178.8
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 179:93Final score 79:93. Model's score: —.178.0
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 255:72Final score 55:72. Model's score: —.166.3
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 197:102OTFinal score 97:102 in overtime. Model's score: —.184.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →