Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Forca Lleida — Real Madrid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:99 — 189 points in total.
Over 188.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Forca Lleida −4.9, Real Madrid +7.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Forca Lleida — Real Madrid | 90.0–98.8 | |
| Total over 188.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 188.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Forca Lleida points
- Real Madrid points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10away · Obradoiro CAB89:91
- 04.10San Pablo Burgos81:94
- 27.09away · Valencia105:100
- 29.05away · Murcia95:116
- 24.05MoraBanc Andorra88:116
- 13.10away · Olimpia Milano98:89
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Real Madrid — Forca Lleida95:78
- 20.12.2025Forca Lleida — Real Madrid81:88
- 09.02.2025Forca Lleida — Real Madrid84:95
- 17.11.2024Real Madrid — Forca Lleida85:78
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Baskonia | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 11 | Unicaja | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 13 | Leyma Coruna | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Basquet GironaJoventut Badalonapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.5
- BilbaoMoraBanc Andorrapreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.9
- TenerifeObradoiro CABpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.2
- ValenciaBaskoniapreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.5
- BreoganUnicajapreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →