EuroLeague (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Arena 8888 Sofia
Hapoel Tel Aviv — Besiktas
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100:82Came true
In short
Final score 100:82: the model's most likely outcome, Hapoel Tel Aviv to win (70% incl. overtime), came true.
Hapoel Tel Aviv are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 93:87 — 180 points in total.
Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Hapoel Tel Aviv −0.6, Besiktas −3.4 points in regulation.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Hapoel Tel Aviv 4 wins, Besiktas 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Hapoel Tel Aviv — Besiktas | 92.9–86.7 | |
| Total over 178.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 178.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Hapoel Tel Aviv points
- Besiktas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 08.10away · Valencia82:93
- 01.10Real Madrid102:98
- 29.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:80
- 24.09Bayern84:86
- 07.05Real Madrid81:87
- 09.10away · Baskonia92:84
- 02.10Barcelona82:95
- 30.09away · Maccabi Tel Aviv109:93
- 25.09Valencia94:96
- 28.04away · JL Bourg71:73
Head to head
- 18.12.2024Hapoel Tel Aviv — Besiktas109:101 OT
- 08.10.2024Besiktas — Hapoel Tel Aviv87:101
- 13.03.2024Hapoel Tel Aviv — Besiktas89:94
- 07.02.2024Besiktas — Hapoel Tel Aviv73:94
- 29.11.2023Hapoel Tel Aviv — Besiktas81:75
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 11 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 12 | Besiktas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
Next matches
- BesiktasBayern16 October · EuroLeague63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.8
- PanathinaikosHapoel Tel Aviv16 October · EuroLeague79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.3
EuroLeague on the same day
- 67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →