Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Independiente de Oliva — Ferro
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 92:97: the model's most likely outcome, Independiente de Oliva to win (69% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 69% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.
Independiente de Oliva are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:83 — 171 point in total.
Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Independiente de Oliva +1.3, Ferro −0.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Independiente de Oliva — Ferro | 88.6–82.7 | |
| Total over 170.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 170.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Independiente de Oliva points
- Ferro points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
- 16.05Gimnasia74:66
- 14.05Gimnasia78:76
- 11.05away · Gimnasia72:77
- 09.05away · Gimnasia66:78
- 01.10away · Argentino68:79
- 03.06away · Gimnasia54:88
- 30.05Gimnasia81:73
- 29.05Gimnasia74:70
- 26.05away · Gimnasia74:79
Head to head
- 11.02.2026Ferro — Independiente de Oliva88:82
- 14.11.2025Independiente de Oliva — Ferro87:75
- 08.02.2025Ferro — Independiente de Oliva93:77
- 16.11.2024Independiente de Oliva — Ferro87:92
- 16.05.2024Ferro — Independiente de Oliva91:79
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 15 | Ferro | 1 | 3 | .250 | 2.5 |
| 16 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Next matches
- Instituto de CordobaFerro10 October · Liga Nacional70301The most likely outcome came true: 197:94OTFinal score 97:94 in overtime. Model's score: —.158.4
- Independiente de OlivaLanus20 October · Liga Nacional80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.3
Liga Nacional on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 1126:123OTFinal score 126:123 in overtime. Model's score: —.155.3
- 36642The most likely outcome did not happen: 289:73Final score 89:73. Model's score: —.154.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →