Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Racing de Chivilcoy — San Martin
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
126:123 OTCame true
In short
Final score 126:123 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Racing de Chivilcoy to win (59% incl. overtime), came true.
Racing de Chivilcoy are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 79:76 — 155 points in total.
Over 154.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Racing de Chivilcoy −2.7, San Martin −1.6 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Racing de Chivilcoy — San Martin | 78.9–76.3 | |
| Total over 154.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 154.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Racing de Chivilcoy points
- San Martin points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 18.04Regatas76:93
- 13.04San Lorenzo80:66
- 11.04Obera TC91:84
- 01.04away · Platense89:90
- 27.03San Martin91:74
- 01.10Instituto de Cordoba73:81
- 01.05Boca Juniors97:101
- 28.04away · Boca Juniors81:83
- 25.04away · Boca Juniors95:98
- 20.04away · Union De Santa Fe68:89
Head to head
- 27.03.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — San Martin91:74
- 12.01.2026San Martin — Racing de Chivilcoy86:90
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Racing de Chivilcoy | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation play-off | Obera TC | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
Next matches
- ArgentinoSan Martin11 October · Liga Nacional38622The most likely outcome did not happen: 282:79Final score 82:79. Model's score: —.157.4
- Racing de ChivilcoyGimnasia11 October · Liga Nacional41592The most likely outcome came true: 272:78Final score 72:78. Model's score: —.160.1
Liga Nacional on the same day
- 69311The most likely outcome did not happen: 192:97Final score 92:97. Model's score: —.171.3
- 36642The most likely outcome did not happen: 289:73Final score 89:73. Model's score: —.154.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →