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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Angel Sandrin

Instituto de Cordoba — Ferro

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Model prediction and result

97:94 OTCame true
Instituto de Cordoba70%
Ferro30%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 97:94 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Instituto de Cordoba to win (70% incl. overtime), came true.

Instituto de Cordoba are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:76 — 158 points in total.

Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Instituto de Cordoba +2.5, Ferro +0.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Instituto de Cordoba — Ferro82.3–76.1
Total over 157.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 157.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Instituto de Cordoba points
  • Ferro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Instituto de Cordoba

  • 03.10away · Regatas63:73
  • 01.10away · San Martin81:73
  • 20.05away · Quimsa71:75
  • 17.05Quimsa83:80
  • 15.05Quimsa66:78

Ferro

  • 09.10away · Independiente de Oliva97:92
  • 01.10away · Argentino68:79
  • 03.06away · Gimnasia54:88
  • 30.05Gimnasia81:73
  • 29.05Gimnasia74:70

Head to head

  • 18.02.2026Ferro — Instituto de Cordoba76:75 OT
  • 15.11.2025Instituto de Cordoba — Ferro75:89
  • 06.04.2025Ferro — Instituto de Cordoba78:88
  • 15.11.2024Instituto de Cordoba — Ferro79:67
  • 17.04.2024Instituto de Cordoba — Ferro80:78

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAtenas321.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba321.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino321.6671
14Boca Juniors312.3332
15Ferro413.2502.5
16Independiente de Oliva101.0002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • AtenasFerro13 October · Liga Nacional
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 91:86. Model's score: —.165.6
  • Instituto de CordobaLanus22 October · Liga Nacional · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —151.9

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • LanusObera TC
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 67:58. Model's score: —.164.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →