VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, 20:00 MSK

Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov

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Model prediction for 14 October

Lokomotiv Kuban92%

Saratov8%

Model estimate at 15:24 MSK

In short

Lokomotiv Kuban are clear favourites: 92% against 8% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:72 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Lokomotiv Kuban +9.2, Saratov −7.4 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Lokomotiv Kuban — No. 4, 2–1; Saratov — No. 6, 2–2.
Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Kuban 5 wins, Saratov 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov		90.6–72.3
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Lokomotiv Kuban points
Saratov points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Lokomotiv Kuban

11.10away · CSKA Moscow84:87
03.10MBA Moscow92:87
27.09Enisey81:66
12.06away · Zenit Petersburg84:76
09.06Zenit Petersburg91:85

Saratov

11.10away · Zenit Petersburg71:91
06.10away · Enisey74:72
30.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:80
26.09Samara77:69
22.04away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg54:86

Head to head

15.03.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov87:69
01.02.2026Saratov — Lokomotiv Kuban76:78
28.12.2025Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov88:65
29.10.2025Saratov — Lokomotiv Kuban67:91
29.03.2025Saratov — Lokomotiv Kuban72:84

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zenit Petersburg	4	3	1	.750	1
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Lokomotiv Kuban	3	2	1	.667	1.5
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Parma Perm	4	2	2	.500	2
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Saratov	4	2	2	.500	2
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	MBA Moscow	3	1	2	.333	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

12:30
Dynamo VladivostokCSKA Moscow
397
2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 88:103. Model's score: —.175.7
15:30
EniseySamaralive
919
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.8
19:00
Unics KazanUralmash Ekaterinburg
919
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →