EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Lyon-Villeurbanne — Baskonia

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Model prediction for 30 October

Lyon-Villeurbanne65%
Baskonia35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lyon-Villeurbanne are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:88 — 180 points in total.

Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lyon-Villeurbanne −6.5, Baskonia −7.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lyon-Villeurbanne — Baskonia92.0–87.6
Total over 178.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 178.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lyon-Villeurbanne points
  • Baskonia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lyon-Villeurbanne

  • 13.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82:84
  • 07.10away · Paris98:96
  • 02.10Valencia92:105
  • 30.09away · Panathinaikos79:102
  • 24.09Maccabi Tel Aviv84:74

Baskonia

  • 13.10Dubai79:93
  • 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
  • 09.10Besiktas84:92
  • 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
  • 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76

Head to head

  • 09.01.2026Baskonia — Lyon-Villeurbanne78:73
  • 03.10.2025Lyon-Villeurbanne — Baskonia102:95
  • 04.04.2025Baskonia — Lyon-Villeurbanne111:75
  • 18.10.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Baskonia76:69
  • 08.02.2024Baskonia — Lyon-Villeurbanne94:80

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
13Zalgiris Kaunas523.4003
14Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4003
15Anadolu Efes413.2503.5
18Maccabi Tel Aviv514.2004
19Baskonia514.2004
20Olimpia Milano514.2004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →