EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 30 October, 22:30 MSK

Barcelona — Valencia

Model prediction for 30 October

Barcelona45%

Valencia55%

Model estimate at 00:52 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Valencia are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 89:90 — 179 points in total.

Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Barcelona −0.8, Valencia +4.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Valencia		88.9–90.4
Total over 178.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 178.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Barcelona points
Valencia points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Barcelona

13.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:87
11.10Valencia89:86
09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
04.10away · Murcia94:100
02.10away · Besiktas95:82

Valencia

13.10Olympiacos97:102
11.10away · Barcelona86:89
08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92

Head to head

11.10.2026Barcelona — Valencia89:86
24.06.2026Barcelona — Valencia84:108
22.06.2026Barcelona — Valencia80:88
20.06.2026Valencia — Barcelona102:75
18.06.2026Valencia — Barcelona112:113 OT

Full record: 30 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	.800	1
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Valencia	5	4	1	.800	1
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	5	3	2	.600	2
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Dubai	5	3	2	.600	2
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Barcelona	5	3	2	.600	2
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Besiktas	4	2	2	.500	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

19:00
DubaiHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.0
20:30
Anadolu EfesPanathinaikospreliminary
3169
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.1
21:00
Zalgiris KaunasPartizan Mozzart Betpreliminary
7327
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.9
22:00
Lyon-VilleurbanneBaskoniapreliminary
6535
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.6
22:15
OlympiacosOlimpia Milanopreliminary
928
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.8
22:30
Virtus BolognaBesiktaspreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →