EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Zalgiris Kaunas — Partizan Mozzart Bet

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Model prediction for 30 October

Zalgiris Kaunas73%
Partizan Mozzart Bet27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zalgiris Kaunas are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:78 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Zalgiris Kaunas +1.1, Partizan Mozzart Bet −2.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Zalgiris Kaunas — Partizan Mozzart Bet85.0–77.9
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Zalgiris Kaunas points
  • Partizan Mozzart Bet points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Zalgiris Kaunas

  • 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
  • 09.10away · Barcelona88:81
  • 01.10away · Paris78:82
  • 29.09Olympiacos91:93
  • 24.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83:77

Partizan Mozzart Bet

  • 13.10Panathinaikos55:72
  • 08.10away · Real Madrid76:86
  • 02.10away · Bayern86:84
  • 29.09away · Paris92:79
  • 25.09Olimpia Milano92:76

Head to head

  • 10.04.2026Partizan Mozzart Bet — Zalgiris Kaunas74:83
  • 19.12.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Partizan Mozzart Bet109:68
  • 03.04.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Partizan Mozzart Bet70:66
  • 03.12.2024Partizan Mozzart Bet — Zalgiris Kaunas84:78
  • 26.01.2024Partizan Mozzart Bet — Zalgiris Kaunas81:72

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet532.6002
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPartizan Mozzart Bet532.6002
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDubai532.6002
12Real Madrid523.4003
13Zalgiris Kaunas523.4003
14Lyon-Villeurbanne523.4003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →