EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Maccabi Tel Aviv — Real Madrid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:94 — 184 points in total.
Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Maccabi Tel Aviv −5.3, Real Madrid +2.2 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Maccabi Tel Aviv — Real Madrid | 89.8–93.8 | |
| Total over 182.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 182.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Maccabi Tel Aviv points
- Real Madrid points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Barcelona87:90
- 08.10Olimpia Milano97:79
- 02.10away · Panathinaikos67:90
- 30.09Besiktas93:109
- 24.09away · Lyon-Villeurbanne74:84
- 13.10away · Olimpia Milano98:89
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
Head to head
- 08.01.2026Real Madrid — Maccabi Tel Aviv98:86
- 22.10.2025Maccabi Tel Aviv — Real Madrid92:91
- 14.01.2025Real Madrid — Maccabi Tel Aviv116:113
- 31.10.2024Maccabi Tel Aviv — Real Madrid79:78
- 30.01.2024Real Madrid — Maccabi Tel Aviv106:101
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 17 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 18 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Anadolu EfesBesiktaspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.6
- BayernDubaipreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.6
- PanathinaikosBaskoniapreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
- Olimpia MilanoBarcelonapreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —173.4
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →