EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Panathinaikos — Baskonia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 96:79 — 174 points in total.
Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Panathinaikos +6.4, Baskonia −7.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Panathinaikos — Baskonia | 95.8–78.5 | |
| Total over 173.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 173.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Panathinaikos points
- Baskonia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet72:55
- 08.10Fenerbahce92:74
- 02.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:67
- 30.09Lyon-Villeurbanne102:79
- 24.09Paris91:72
- 13.10Dubai79:93
- 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
- 09.10Besiktas84:92
- 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
- 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Panathinaikos — Baskonia93:74
- 09.10.2025Baskonia — Panathinaikos84:86
- 17.01.2025Baskonia — Panathinaikos91:77
- 19.12.2024Panathinaikos — Baskonia104:69
- 03.01.2024Baskonia — Panathinaikos75:73
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 18 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Anadolu EfesBesiktaspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.6
- BayernDubaipreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.6
- Maccabi Tel AvivReal Madridpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.6
- Olimpia MilanoBarcelonapreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —173.4
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →