EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Olimpia Milano — Barcelona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Barcelona are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 86:88 — 173 points in total.
Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Olimpia Milano −6.3, Barcelona −0.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpia Milano — Barcelona | 85.6–87.8 | |
| Total over 172.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 172.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Olimpia Milano points
- Barcelona points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Real Madrid89:98
- 08.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv79:97
- 02.10away · Baskonia76:86
- 29.09Virtus Bologna87:85
- 25.09away · Partizan Mozzart Bet76:92
- 13.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:87
- 11.10Valencia89:86
- 09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
- 04.10away · Murcia94:100
- 02.10away · Besiktas95:82
Head to head
- 05.03.2026Olimpia Milano — Barcelona87:84
- 28.10.2025Barcelona — Olimpia Milano74:72
- 27.03.2025Olimpia Milano — Barcelona88:98
- 13.12.2024Barcelona — Olimpia Milano81:94
- 26.01.2024Olimpia Milano — Barcelona74:70
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dubai | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Anadolu EfesBesiktaspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.6
- BayernDubaipreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.6
- Maccabi Tel AvivReal Madridpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.6
- PanathinaikosBaskoniapreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →