NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Memphis Grizzlies — Utah Jazz

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Model prediction for 22 October

Memphis Grizzlies57%
Utah Jazz43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Memphis Grizzlies are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The model expects a score around 123:120 — 243 points in total.

Over 242.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Pace: Memphis Grizzlies 104.7, Utah Jazz 106.0 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Memphis Grizzlies 3 wins, Utah Jazz 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Memphis Grizzlies — Utah Jazz122.9–120.5
Total over 242.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 242.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Memphis Grizzlies points
  • Utah Jazz points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 13.04away · Houston Rockets101:132
  • 11.04away · Utah Jazz101:147
  • 09.04away · Denver Nuggets119:136
  • 07.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:142
  • 05.04away · Milwaukee Bucks115:131

Utah Jazz

  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Lakers107:131
  • 11.04Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 08.04away · New Orleans Pelicans137:156
  • 06.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder111:146
  • 04.04away · Houston Rockets106:140

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 21.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Utah Jazz123:114
  • 24.12.2025Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies128:137
  • 13.12.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Utah Jazz126:130
  • 26.03.2025Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies103:140

Full record: 30 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →