Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Real Madrid — Bilbao
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 97:86 — 183 points in total.
Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +7.3, Bilbao −0.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — Bilbao | 97.3–85.8 | |
| Total over 182.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 182.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
231 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Real Madrid points
- Bilbao points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Olimpia Milano98:89
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 11.10San Pablo Burgos96:87
- 04.10away · Leyma Coruna101:104
- 26.09Manresa107:92
- 05.06Valencia71:88
- 03.06away · Valencia80:83
Head to head
- 14.05.2026Bilbao — Real Madrid88:82
- 16.11.2025Real Madrid — Bilbao82:70
- 30.03.2025Real Madrid — Bilbao88:70
- 13.10.2024Bilbao — Real Madrid83:79
- 21.01.2024Real Madrid — Bilbao95:80
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Baskonia | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.3
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.6
- 80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —183.6
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.9
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —179.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →