EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Real Madrid — Fenerbahce
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Madrid are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 86:83 — 169 points in total.
Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +2.2, Fenerbahce +2.8 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Real Madrid — No. 12, 2–3; Fenerbahce — No. 3, 4–1.
- Real Madrid: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Real Madrid 2 wins, Fenerbahce 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — Fenerbahce | 86.1–83.3 | |
| Total over 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Real Madrid points
- Fenerbahce points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Olimpia Milano98:89
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 13.10Zalgiris Kaunas99:80
- 08.10away · Panathinaikos74:92
- 02.10Dubai76:66
- 29.09Bayern100:76
- 25.09Virtus Bologna78:68
Head to head
- 09.04.2026Fenerbahce — Real Madrid69:74
- 30.10.2025Real Madrid — Fenerbahce84:58
- 06.02.2025Fenerbahce — Real Madrid78:67
- 05.12.2024Real Madrid — Fenerbahce70:82
- 07.03.2024Real Madrid — Fenerbahce79:89
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetBayernpreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.5
- Maccabi Tel AvivParispreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —187.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →