EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

San Pablo Burgos — Hapoel Jerusalem

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Model prediction for 14 October

San Pablo Burgos22%
Hapoel Jerusalem78%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Hapoel Jerusalem are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 80:90 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Pablo Burgos −6.0, Hapoel Jerusalem +6.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Pablo Burgos — Hapoel Jerusalem80.3–89.9
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • San Pablo Burgos points
  • Hapoel Jerusalem points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

San Pablo Burgos

  • 11.10away · Bilbao87:96
  • 07.10away · Aris80:93
  • 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
  • 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81
  • 27.09Baskonia97:98

Hapoel Jerusalem

  • 06.10away · Cedevita Olimpija75:64
  • 29.09Rostock94:73
  • 18.03Turk Telekom90:91
  • 11.02away · Venezia80:83
  • 04.02Cluj-Napoca114:104

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem2201.000—
2, PlayoffsAris2201.000—
3, PlayoffsRostock211.5001
4, PlayoffsRigas Zelli211.5001
5San Pablo Burgos211.5001
6Tortona211.5001
7Cedevita Olimpija202.0002
8Le Mans202.0002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →