EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

Tenerife — Maxima Roma

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Model prediction for 14 October

Tenerife47%
Maxima Roma53%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Tenerife 47%, Maxima Roma 53%.

The model expects a score around 82:83 — 166 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Tenerife −5.0, Maxima Roma −1.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Tenerife — Maxima Roma82.2–83.3
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Tenerife points
  • Maxima Roma points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Tenerife

  • 11.10away · Murcia90:77
  • 06.10away · London Lions77:89
  • 03.10away · Unicaja80:75
  • 30.09Turk Telekom82:75
  • 27.09Basket Zaragoza80:81

Maxima Roma

  • 06.10away · Turk Telekom77:92
  • 30.09Cluj-Napoca89:55

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group B

Table «Group B», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsVenezia211.500—
2, PlayoffsMaxima Roma211.500—
3, PlayoffsLondon Lions211.500—
4, PlayoffsTurk Telekom211.500—
5Tenerife211.500—
6Siauliai211.500—
7Frankfurt211.500—
8Cluj-Napoca211.500—

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →