NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies

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Model prediction for 27 October

Utah Jazz59%
Memphis Grizzlies41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utah Jazz are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 123:120 — 243 points in total.

Over 242.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
  • Memphis Grizzlies play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Jazz 2 wins, Memphis Grizzlies 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies123.2–120.1
Total over 242.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 242.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Lakers107:131
  • 11.04Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 08.04away · New Orleans Pelicans137:156
  • 06.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder111:146
  • 04.04away · Houston Rockets106:140

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 13.04away · Houston Rockets101:132
  • 11.04away · Utah Jazz101:147
  • 09.04away · Denver Nuggets119:136
  • 07.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:142
  • 05.04away · Milwaukee Bucks115:131

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 21.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Utah Jazz123:114
  • 24.12.2025Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies128:137
  • 13.12.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Utah Jazz126:130
  • 26.03.2025Utah Jazz — Memphis Grizzlies103:140

Full record: 30 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →