Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Valencia — Baskonia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 98:94 — 191 point in total.
Over 190.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +8.1, Baskonia +7.7 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Baskonia | 97.6–93.8 | |
| Total over 190.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 190.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Baskonia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Olympiacos97:102
- 11.10away · Barcelona86:89
- 08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
- 02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
- 13.10Dubai79:93
- 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
- 09.10Besiktas84:92
- 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
- 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
Head to head
- 29.09.2026Valencia — Baskonia111:88
- 10.05.2026Valencia — Baskonia86:88
- 26.02.2026Baskonia — Valencia79:108
- 23.12.2025Valencia — Baskonia91:81
- 07.12.2025Baskonia — Valencia89:91
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Baskonia | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 13 | Leyma Coruna | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 14 | Valencia | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 15 | Murcia | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Basquet GironaJoventut Badalonapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.5
- BilbaoMoraBanc Andorrapreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.9
- TenerifeObradoiro CABpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.2
- BreoganUnicajapreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —189.7
- Forca LleidaReal Madridpreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —188.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →