EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Roig Arena
Valencia — Olympiacos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
97:102 OTMissed
In short
Final score 97:102 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Valencia to win (52% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Valencia 52%, Olympiacos 48%.
The model expects a score around 92:92 — 184 points in total.
Over 183.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +4.2, Olympiacos +7.2 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Olympiacos | 92.2–91.8 | |
| Total over 183.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 183.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Olympiacos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Barcelona86:89
- 08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
- 02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
- 29.09Baskonia111:88
- 09.10Anadolu Efes89:66
- 01.10away · Virtus Bologna94:96
- 29.09away · Zalgiris Kaunas93:91
- 24.09away · Baskonia106:89
- 24.05Real Madrid92:85
Head to head
- 24.03.2026Valencia — Olympiacos85:84
- 16.12.2025Olympiacos — Valencia92:99
- 08.02.2024Valencia — Olympiacos65:78
- 15.12.2023Olympiacos — Valencia56:63
- 24.02.2023Valencia — Olympiacos85:92
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
Next matches
- ValenciaMaccabi Tel Aviv15 October · EuroLeague86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —186.5
- BarcelonaOlympiacos16 October · EuroLeague36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.6
EuroLeague on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 199:80Final score 99:80. Model's score: —.161.1
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 282:84Final score 82:84. Model's score: —.166.6
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 190:87Final score 90:87. Model's score: —.178.8
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 179:93Final score 79:93. Model's score: —.178.0
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 289:98Final score 89:98. Model's score: —.175.3
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 255:72Final score 55:72. Model's score: —.166.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →