Saudi Pro League, round 8 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK · Dhamak Club Stadium
Abha — Al-Faisaly
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Abha 33%, Al-Faisaly 34%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al-Faisaly are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abha — Al-Faisaly What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Abha not to lose | 66% | |
| Al-Faisaly not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abha
- Abha goals
- Al-Faisaly goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.09away · Al Diriyah0:0
- 09.09away · Al Nassr FC1:2
- 04.09Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 28.08away · Al-Fayha2:3
- 25.08Al Khaleej1:1
- 11.09Al Ittihad1:3
- 08.09away · Al-Ettifaq0:0
- 05.09Al Hazem0:0
- 30.08away · Al Qadsiah1:3
- 26.08Al Fateh FC1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →