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Ligue 1

France · season 2026/27 · 18 teams · 54 matches played

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Ligue 1 predictions

Friday, 16 October

  • Le MansToulouse
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1

Saturday, 17 October

  • StrasbourgParis Saint-Germain
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
  • LilleBrest
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • TroyesLens
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4

Sunday, 18 October

  • AngersMarseille
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • Le HavreAuxerre
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
  • LorientMonaco
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
  • Paris FCRennes
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
  • LyonNice
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • BrestNice
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • ToulouseTroyes
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
  • LensParis FC
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • MonacoLille
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
  • AngersLorient
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
  • AuxerreLe Mans
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
  • MarseilleLe Havre
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
  • RennesStrasbourg
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
  • Paris Saint-GermainLyon
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4

Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • NiceRennes
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • LorientBrest
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
  • LyonAngers
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
  • TroyesLe Mans
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5

Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates

  • StrasbourgAuxerre
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
  • Paris FCMonaco
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
  • MarseilleToulouse
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 7 of 9, it expected 57%

Sunday, 11 October

  • NiceStrasbourg
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.2.8
  • RennesAuxerre
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
  • TroyesMarseille
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:3.3.5

Saturday, 10 October

  • LilleLe Havre
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
  • Paris Saint-GermainLe Mans
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.8
  • MonacoToulouse
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
  • LorientParis FC
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
  • BrestAngers
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5

Friday, 9 October

  • LensLyon
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.3.2

Sunday, 20 September

  • AuxerreBrest
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • NiceLille
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • MarseilleParis Saint-Germain
    Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

  • Paris FCStrasbourg
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • AngersTroyes
    Final score 2:0. Model's score: —.—
  • Le MansLorient
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
  • LyonRennes
    Final score 4:0. Model's score: —.—
  • ToulouseLe Havre
    Final score 3:2. Model's score: —.—

Friday, 18 September

  • MonacoLens
    Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−PtsForm
1, Champions LeagueMonaco642010–5+514
2, Champions LeagueLille64119–4+513
3, Champions LeagueRennes641112–10+213
4, Champions League qualifyingLyon632111–4+711
5, Europa League or Conference LeagueParis FC63218–4+411
6, Europa League or Conference LeagueParis Saint-Germain632111–8+311
7Brest622212–9+38
8Lorient62226–608
9Nice62225–7-28
10Lens621311–10+17
11Strasbourg621311–12-17
12Angers62137–10-37
13Marseille62049–8+16
14Le Mans613210–12-26
15Toulouse61329–11-26
16, Relegation play-offAuxerre62048–16-86
17, RelegationTroyes61144–13-94
18, RelegationLe Havre60244–8-42
  • Champions League
  • Champions League qualifying
  • Europa League or Conference League
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation

Season 2026/27 · zones by the regulations, the final allocation may depend on cup winners

About the competition

  • 2.9goals per match
  • 46%home wins
  • 26%draws
  • 28%away wins
  • 61%over 2.5 goals
  • 61%both teams scored
53%

How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 972 Ligue 1 matches since 11 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 53%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check

Season leaders

  • Best attackRennes12 goals in 6 matches
  • Best defenceLille4 conceded in 6 matches
  • Best formRennes12 points in the last 5

Season 2026/27, regular-season matches played. 2.9 goals per match on average.