English Premier League
England · season 2026/27 · 20 teams · 60 matches played
Matchday 7 predictions →Season forecast: title and relegation chances →Power rankings →
Premier League predictions
Saturday, 17 October
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 352935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6
- 4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
Sunday, 18 October
- 5625181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5028211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 323038XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.0
- 1525602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
Monday, 19 October
- 4527271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 2328492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 2025552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 741881The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 303238XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 2030502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4828251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 5028231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- 4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- 4430271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 2928432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
Monday, 2 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 5126231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 7 of 10, it expected 47%
Monday, 12 October
- 2228502The most likely outcome did not happen: 24:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
Sunday, 11 October
- 283240XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:0.2.3
- 4229291The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 3327392The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.2
Saturday, 10 October
- 7119101The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.2.7
- 2229492The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 2228502The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 4627281The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
- 352935XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.9
- 6124151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.1
Sunday, 20 September
- AFC BournemouthLiverpool———0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—
- Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace———0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: —.—
- Manchester CitySunderland———5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: —.—
- FulhamManchester United———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
Saturday, 19 September
- Tottenham HotspurAston Villa———2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: —.—
- Brighton & Hove AlbionArsenal———3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—
- EvertonIpswich Town———1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
- Newcastle UnitedHull City———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
- Nottingham ForestCoventry City———0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: —.—
Friday, 18 September
- BrentfordChelsea———3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 1 more match
Monday, 14 September
- Leeds UnitedNewcastle United———4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: —.—
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2, Champions League | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Everton | 6 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 6 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 19, Relegation | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 20, Relegation | Fulham | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 3 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 2 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | +6 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 3 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ipswich Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 3 | 1 | +3 | 5 |
| 9 | Hull City | 3 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 10 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Coventry City | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Liverpool | 3 | 0 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 0 | -3 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 3 | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 3 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Hull City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 3 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Brentford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 3 | 0 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 0 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 3 | 0 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | -5 | 1 |
- Champions League
- Europa League or Conference League
- Relegation
About the competition
- 3.0goals per match
- 38%home wins
- 32%draws
- 30%away wins
- 57%over 2.5 goals
- 55%both teams scored
53%
How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 1,200 Premier League matches since 11 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 55%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check
Season leaders
- Best attackBrighton & Hove Albion18 goals in 6 matches
- Best defenceManchester City5 conceded in 6 matches
- Best formManchester City15 points in the last 5