Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Abha — Al Ittihad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Ittihad are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ittihad are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abha — Al Ittihad What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Abha not to lose | 41% | |
| Al Ittihad not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abha
- Abha goals
- Al Ittihad goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.09away · Al Diriyah0:0
- 09.09away · Al Nassr FC1:2
- 04.09Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 28.08away · Al-Fayha2:3
- 25.08Al Khaleej1:1
- 10.10away · Al Hilal2:3
- 11.09away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 08.09Al-Fayha2:1
- 05.09Al Nassr FC2:1
- 29.08away · Al Fateh FC0:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2024Abha — Al Ittihad3:1
- 10.11.2023Al Ittihad — Abha4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al DiriyahNeom SCpreliminary363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- Al ShababAl Ahlipreliminary1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →