Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

ADC Juan Pablo II — Sport Boys

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Model prediction for 17 October

ADC Juan Pablo II45%
Draw28%
Sport Boys27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

ADC Juan Pablo II are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: ADC Juan Pablo II — Sport Boys What is xG?1.5–1.1
ADC Juan Pablo II not to lose73%
Sport Boys not to lose55%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap ADC Juan Pablo II
  • ADC Juan Pablo II goals
  • Sport Boys goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

ADC Juan Pablo II

  • 10.10away · Comerciantes Unidos1:1
  • 20.09Club Deportivo Moquegua4:0
  • 11.09away · CD UT Cajamarca2:1
  • 06.09Alianza Lima1:1
  • 29.08away · Los Chankas4:3

Sport Boys

  • 11.10Alianza Atlético1:3
  • 20.09away · FBC Melgar1:1
  • 13.09Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
  • 05.09away · Sport Huancayo1:2
  • 30.08Sporting Cristal1:0

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026Sport Boys — ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
  • 20.07.2025ADC Juan Pablo II — Sport Boys3:0
  • 09.02.2025Sport Boys — ADC Juan Pablo II1:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →