Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
ADO Den Haag — SC Heerenveen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SC Heerenveen are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ADO Den Haag — SC Heerenveen What is xG? | 1.2–1.7 | |
| ADO Den Haag not to lose | 55% | |
| SC Heerenveen not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag goals
- SC Heerenveen goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Telstar2:2
- 19.09Cambuur1:1
- 12.09away · FC Twente0:2
- 06.09Fortuna Sittard2:3
- 30.08away · Feyenoord2:2
- 09.10away · PSV Eindhoven0:2
- 19.09away · Sparta Rotterdam4:0
- 13.09Telstar0:0
- 06.09AZ Alkmaar2:3
- 30.08away · Willem II2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | -15 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Willem II | 8 | 0 | -16 | 2 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- FC UtrechtPEC Zwollepreliminary6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Willem IICambuurpreliminary3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →