Danish Superliga, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
AGF — Viborg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
AGF are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AGF are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AGF — Viborg What is xG? | 1.7–1.3 | |
| AGF not to lose | 74% | |
| Viborg not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AGF
- AGF goals
- Viborg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Sønderjyske3:0
- 20.09away · AC Horsens2:2
- 13.09away · Nordsjælland0:2
- 05.09Silkeborg2:2
- 02.09FC Midtjylland0:2
- 11.10away · Randers FC2:0
- 20.09Nordsjælland4:1
- 13.09away · Silkeborg1:1
- 04.09Lyngby0:2
- 28.08away · AC Horsens3:2
Head to head
- 14.08.2026Viborg — AGF2:1
- 17.05.2026AGF — Viborg6:2
- 06.04.2026Viborg — AGF1:2
- 22.02.2026AGF — Viborg5:2
- 14.09.2025Viborg — AGF1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Viborg | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 4, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 10 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 9, Relegation round | OB | 10 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
| 10, Relegation round | AGF | 10 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 11, Relegation round | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | -9 | 7 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- FC MidtjyllandLyngbypreliminary6423141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- SilkeborgNordsjællandpreliminary2427492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AC HorsensSønderjyskepreliminary4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →