Egyptian Premier League, round 7 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Al Ahly SC — Olympic El Qanah FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Ahly SC are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ahly SC are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Ahly SC — Olympic El Qanah FC What is xG? | 2.7–0.7 | |
| Al Ahly SC not to lose | 94% | |
| Olympic El Qanah FC not to lose | 20% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Ahly SC
- Al Ahly SC goals
- Olympic El Qanah FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Zamalek SC2:0
- 15.09Abo Qir Semad2:0
- 09.09away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:1
- 03.09Smouha SC1:0
- 28.08away · ZED FC2:0
- 11.10Al Masry SC1:1
- 17.09away · ZED FC1:2
- 07.09Tala'ea El Gaish1:1
- 01.09away · Wadi Degla FC0:0
- 28.08El Gouna FC1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly SC | 6 | 5 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 6 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Masry SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Ghazl Al MahallaAl Ittihad Alexandriapreliminary313435XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.8
- Ceramica CleopatraPetrojet-Suezpreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →