Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Al Diriyah — Neom SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Al Diriyah 36%, Neom SC 32%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neom SC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Diriyah — Neom SC What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Al Diriyah not to lose | 68% | |
| Neom SC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Diriyah
- Al Diriyah goals
- Neom SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Al Nassr FC0:3
- 13.09Abha0:0
- 09.09away · Al Fateh FC2:1
- 03.09Al Qadsiah0:2
- 29.08away · Al-Ettifaq3:0
- 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1
- 13.09Al Fateh FC4:2
- 07.09away · Al Hilal2:0
- 03.09Al Khaleej3:0
- 28.08away · Al Riyadh0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- AbhaAl Ittihadpreliminary1625592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Al ShababAl Ahlipreliminary1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →