Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Al-Ettifaq — Al Ittihad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Al Ittihad are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ittihad are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Ettifaq — Al Ittihad What is xG? | 1.5–1.9 | |
| Al-Ettifaq not to lose | 55% | |
| Al Ittihad not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Al-Ettifaq
- Al-Ettifaq goals
- Al Ittihad goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Al Khaleej1:1
- 11.09away · Al Qadsiah3:3
- 08.09Al-Faisaly0:0
- 04.09away · Abha1:0
- 29.08Al Diriyah0:3
- 10.10away · Al Hilal2:3
- 11.09away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 08.09Al-Fayha2:1
- 05.09Al Nassr FC2:1
- 29.08away · Al Fateh FC0:0
Head to head
- 14.05.2026Al-Ettifaq — Al Ittihad1:3
- 16.01.2026Al Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 21.04.2025Al Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq3:2
- 30.11.2024Al-Ettifaq — Al Ittihad0:4
- 10.05.2024Al Ittihad — Al-Ettifaq0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 5626171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →