Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Al-Fayha — Al-Faisaly

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Model prediction for 31 October

Al-Fayha40%
Draw32%
Al-Faisaly28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al-Fayha are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 32%.

The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al-Faisaly are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al-Fayha — Al-Faisaly What is xG?1.2–1.0
Al-Fayha not to lose72%
Al-Faisaly not to lose60%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Al-Fayha
  • Al-Fayha goals
  • Al-Faisaly goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Al-Fayha

  • 11.10Al Riyadh1:1
  • 12.09away · Al Shabab0:0
  • 08.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
  • 03.09Al Kholood2:2
  • 28.08Abha3:2

Al-Faisaly

  • 11.09Al Ittihad1:3
  • 08.09away · Al-Ettifaq0:0
  • 05.09Al Hazem0:0
  • 30.08away · Al Qadsiah1:3
  • 26.08Al Fateh FC1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Al Shabab81439–11-27
13Al-Fayha81438–12-47
14Al Khaleej80624–11-76
15Al-Faisaly70345–13-83
16, RelegationAl Fateh FC80354–15-113

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →