Saudi Pro League, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Al Kholood — Al-Ettifaq
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Al Kholood 39%, Al-Ettifaq 32%, draw 29%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Kholood — Al-Ettifaq What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Al Kholood not to lose | 68% | |
| Al-Ettifaq not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Kholood
- Al Kholood goals
- Al-Ettifaq goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Al Qadsiah0:5
- 13.09away · Al Riyadh0:2
- 09.09Al Shabab2:1
- 03.09away · Al-Fayha2:2
- 29.08Al Ahli3:1
- 10.10Al Khaleej1:1
- 11.09away · Al Qadsiah3:3
- 08.09Al-Faisaly0:0
- 04.09away · Abha1:0
- 29.08Al Diriyah0:3
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Al Kholood — Al-Ettifaq1:2
- 28.08.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Kholood2:1
- 10.05.2025Al Kholood — Al-Ettifaq1:0
- 10.01.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Kholood2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Neom SCAbhapreliminary6622111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Al RiyadhAl-Taawounpreliminary313138XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →