Saudi Pro League, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Al Riyadh — Al-Taawoun
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al-Taawoun are slightly stronger: 38% against 31%, draw 31%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al-Taawoun are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Riyadh — Al-Taawoun What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| Al Riyadh not to lose | 62% | |
| Al-Taawoun not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Riyadh
- Al Riyadh goals
- Al-Taawoun goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Al-Fayha1:1
- 13.09Al Kholood2:0
- 07.09away · Al Khaleej0:0
- 04.09away · Al Ahli0:5
- 28.08Neom SC1:0
- 11.10away · Al Shabab0:3
- 12.09Al Hilal0:6
- 08.09away · Al Hazem0:1
- 05.09Al Fateh FC0:0
- 28.08away · Al Nassr FC1:2
Head to head
- 15.05.2026Al-Taawoun — Al Riyadh1:1
- 18.01.2026Al Riyadh — Al-Taawoun1:3
- 20.05.2025Al-Taawoun — Al Riyadh3:2
- 21.01.2025Al Riyadh — Al-Taawoun1:0
- 09.05.2024Al Riyadh — Al-Taawoun0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Neom SCAbhapreliminary6622111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Al KholoodAl-Ettifaqpreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →