Uruguayan Primera Division, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Albion — Montevideo City Torque
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Montevideo City Torque are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Montevideo City Torque are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Albion — Montevideo City Torque What is xG? | 1.4–1.8 | |
| Albion not to lose | 54% | |
| Montevideo City Torque not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Albion
- Albion goals
- Montevideo City Torque goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Cerro Largo1:0
- 03.10Defensor Sporting3:2
- 29.09away · Montevideo Wanderers1:2
- 20.09Juventud de las Piedras1:3
- 14.09away · Club Atletico Peñarol1:3
- 09.10Danubio1:0
- 06.10away · Nacional (URU)0:2
- 01.10Club Atletico Peñarol1:1
- 27.09Deportivo Maldonado0:2
- 22.09away · Central Español4:1
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Albion — Montevideo City Torque1:2
- 11.04.2026Montevideo City Torque — Albion0:1
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 4331261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →