Argentine Liga Profesional · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Estadio José María Minella
Aldosivi — Sarmiento
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:3Missed
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (30%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 30% fails in about 70 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Aldosivi 38%, Sarmiento 32%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aldosivi — Sarmiento What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Aldosivi not to lose | 68% | |
| Sarmiento not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Aldosivi
- Aldosivi goals
- Sarmiento goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 04.10away · Huracán0:1
- 21.09Atlético Tucumán1:0
- 12.09away · Independiente Rivadavia3:4
- 05.09Banfield3:1
- 30.08away · Argentinos Juniors1:2
- 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
- 13.09Belgrano1:1
- 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
- 29.08away · Unión1:4
- 23.08Estudiantes2:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Sarmiento — Aldosivi2:0
- 14.09.2025Sarmiento — Aldosivi2:0
- 01.03.2025Aldosivi — Sarmiento2:2
- 03.09.2022Aldosivi — Sarmiento1:2
- 09.10.2021Sarmiento — Aldosivi3:0
Next matches
- SarmientoRiver Plate15 October · Liga Profesional2330472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- Estudiantes de Río CuartoAldosivi19 October · Liga Profesional4331271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →