Austrian Bundesliga, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Altach — Austria Wien

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Model prediction for 23 October

Altach42%
Draw30%
Austria Wien28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Altach are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Altach — Austria Wien What is xG?1.3–1.0
Altach not to lose72%
Austria Wien not to lose58%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Altach
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  • Austria Wien goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Altach

  • 11.10Wolfsberger AC3:0
  • 19.09away · Austria Lustenau0:2
  • 12.09Grazer AK1:2
  • 29.08away · LASK0:3
  • 22.08Hartberg1:2

Austria Wien

  • 10.10Sturm Graz0:2
  • 19.09away · Grazer AK2:2
  • 13.09Austria Lustenau2:1
  • 02.09WSG Tirol0:1
  • 30.08away · Salzburg1:4

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Altach — Austria Wien2:1
  • 31.08.2025Austria Wien — Altach1:0
  • 08.12.2024Austria Wien — Altach3:0
  • 01.09.2024Altach — Austria Wien1:1
  • 26.04.2024Austria Wien — Altach2:2

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9, Relegation roundWSG Tirol822410–14-48
10, Relegation roundAustria Wien82157–15-87
11, Relegation roundAltach82068–12-46
12, Relegation roundWolfsberger AC81257–16-95

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →