Austrian Bundesliga, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Altach — Ried

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Model prediction for 31 October

Altach40%
Draw30%
Ried30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Altach are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Altach — Ried What is xG?1.4–1.2
Altach not to lose70%
Ried not to lose60%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Altach
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  • Ried goals
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Form

Altach

  • 11.10Wolfsberger AC3:0
  • 19.09away · Austria Lustenau0:2
  • 12.09Grazer AK1:2
  • 29.08away · LASK0:3
  • 22.08Hartberg1:2

Ried

  • 10.10away · WSG Tirol2:1
  • 20.09Wolfsberger AC4:1
  • 11.09Salzburg1:1
  • 30.08away · Hartberg2:3
  • 21.08Grazer AK1:0

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026Altach — Ried2:0
  • 03.04.2026Ried — Altach3:2
  • 13.12.2025Ried — Altach3:0
  • 09.08.2025Altach — Ried1:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Championship roundSturm Graz842210–9+114
5, Championship roundRied832313–13011
6, Championship roundHartberg832314–16-211
10, Relegation roundAustria Wien82157–15-87
11, Relegation roundAltach82068–12-46
12, Relegation roundWolfsberger AC81257–16-95

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

  • LASKWSG Tirolpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →